Climate Change

Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change
Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 ± 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 ± 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 ± 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely.
ISIMIP - Lake Sector 2b
Run lake model simulations as part of the Inter-Sector Impact Model Project. The ISIMIP project provides climate scenarios from global climate model that can serve as inputs to lake model simulations.