Lake Evaporation

Five lake models forced by four different climate model projections are used to simulate historic and future change in lake evaporation for Lake Kinneret (Israel). There were considerable differences in simulated evaporation rates among the models, with the annual average evaporation rates varying between 1232 mm year-1 and 2608 mm year-1 during the historic period (1901-2005). By the end of the 21st century (2070-2099), annual average evaporation rates would increase by 9-22% under RCPs 2.6-8.5. Our projections suggest that the water balance of Lake Kinneret could experience a deficit of 14-40% this century.